6

The Coffee Pod

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62

Ffos Las · Happy 70th Birthday Brian Glanville Handicap · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has fallen a long way in the weights (last win in 5f York handicap 2 years ago for Richard Hannon off 13 lb higher) and got closer than previously this season at Salisbury last time. Down another 2 lb.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 06/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 74 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark06/12/2024 · OR 74 par6/125OR 743 @ Epsom Downs 22/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 74 · 5f Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/04/2025 · OR 74 par5 @ Ripon 09/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 73 · 5f Goo 134 · below its mark09/05/2025 · OR 73 par9/055OR 735 @ Windsor 19/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 72 · 5f21y GF 132 · beat its mark19/05/2025 · OR 72 par5 @ Goodwood 22/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 71 · 5f Goo 140 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 71 par22/085OR 714 @ Goodwood 02/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 70 · 5f Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 69 · 6f Gd 130 · below its mark13/04/2026 · OR 69 par13/045OR 695 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 66 · 6f GF 138 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 64 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 64 par25/075OR 64projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Salisbury55th5th0
2026-07-09Newbury57th7th0
2026-04-13Leicester58th8th0
2025-09-02Goodwood48th7th+1
2025-08-22Goodwood56th6th0
2025-05-19Windsor53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1219/0513/0425/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/12/20243rd11/271%82%+0.11
22/04/20255th5/174%60%-0.14
09/05/20256th11/486%29%-0.57
19/05/20253rd4/179%67%-0.12
22/08/20256th10/382%17%-0.66
02/09/20258th12/137%0%-0.37
13/04/20268th7/163%13%-0.51
09/07/20267th11/271%45%-0.26
25/07/20265th16/116%56%+0.40