7

The Feminine Urge
4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 57
Ffos Las · Happy 70th Birthday Brian Glanville Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Newbury | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bath | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/06/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 9% | -0.33 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |