7

The Feminine Urge

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 57

Ffos Las · Happy 70th Birthday Brian Glanville Handicap · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won twice over 5f last season for George Scott and getting closer over 6f of late, unable to reel in Tony Carroll-trained 3-y-o who got first run at Lingfield last time. This is tougher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 09/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 68 · 5f Goo 137 · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 68 par9/095OR 686 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 65 · 5f10y Goo 135 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Bath 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 65 · 5f10y Fm 126 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 65 par27/045OR 655 @ Bath 12/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 64 · 5f160y Fm 131 · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Newbury 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 62 · 5f34y GF 127 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 62 par1/065OR 626 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 60 · 5f21y GF 135 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 60 · 5f21y GF 138 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 60 par29/066OR 605 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 57 · 6f GF 129 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 56 · 6f GF 126 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 56 par25/075OR 56projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Lingfield52nd2nd0
2026-07-09Newbury53rd3rd0
2026-06-29Windsor67th8th1
2026-06-22Windsor611th12th1
2026-06-01Newbury56th6th0
2026-05-12Bath57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0912/0529/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20258th16/116%0%-0.16
05/04/20263rd16/116%83%+0.68
27/04/20265th17/255%33%-0.22
12/05/20267th9/153%0%-0.53
01/06/20266th28/10%17%+0.17
22/06/202611th11/142%9%-0.33
29/06/20267th33/10%50%+0.50
09/07/20263rd10/147%82%+0.34
25/07/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68