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6

Midgham Man

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Ffos Las · EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 80y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Study of Man half-brother to 6f winners Runaround Sioux and Be An Angel. 33/1, very green but was getting the hang of things late when fifth of 7 in 6f novice here on debut 5 weeks ago. Should improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 13329/064
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Ffos Las45th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength17%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20265th33/10%33%+0.33