4

Cypriot Diaspora

5yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 59

Ffos Las · Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 80y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

82%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful twice over C&D last summer but she hasn't been in the same form since, a below-par third of 7 back over C&D in June. Needs to take a step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ffos Las 29/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 63 · 7f80y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2025 · OR 63 par29/085OR 634 @ Epsom Downs 11/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 71 · 7f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Kempton 01/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 71 · 7f Sta 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 71 par1/105OR 715 @ Leicester 14/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m53y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 69 · 7f Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/03/2026 · OR 69 par25/035OR 695 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 68 · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Chepstow 21/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 66 · 7f16y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 66 par21/055OR 665 @ Leicester 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 63 · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 60 · 7f80y Goo 138 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 60 par30/066OR 60projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Ffos Las63rd3rd0
2026-06-13Leicester56th5th+1
2026-05-21Chepstow58th7th+1
2026-05-09Leicester59th8th+1
2026-03-25Kempton55th4th+1
2025-10-14Leicester56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0814/1021/0530/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength65%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
11/09/202510th13/266%18%-0.48
01/10/202512th50/10%8%+0.08
14/10/20256th28/10%29%+0.29
25/03/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
09/05/20269th40/10%0%0.00
21/05/20268th10/147%30%-0.17
13/06/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
30/06/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19