Lerwick
6yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 64
Ffos Las · Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 80y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 10/07/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 19/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |