9
Iconic Dawn
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 54
Ffos Las · Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 80y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-10-14 | Lingfield | 5 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-05 | Newbury | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 14/10/2025 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |