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6

Piazza

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 63

Ffos Las · Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 80y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Encouraging fifth on return at Kempton (7f) in June and best excused latest run (held up off a steady pace) when seventh at Epsom (7f) over 2 weeks ago. Remains with some potential.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Salisbury 04/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 5f GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS4/0534 @ Chepstow 16/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f16y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS16/0645 @ Nottingham 07/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f18y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS7/0854 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 71 · 7f Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 71 par30/084OR 715 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 67 · 7f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 67 par29/065OR 676 @ Epsom Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 7f3y Goo 135 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 65 par16/076OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Epsom Downs67th7th0
2026-06-29Kempton55th4th+1
2025-08-30Sandown44th2nd+2
2025-08-07Nottingham53rd2nd+1
2025-06-16Chepstow43rd1st+2
2025-05-04Salisbury34th0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0516/067/0830/0829/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength72%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20254th10/1195%0%-0.95
16/06/20253rd7/491%60%-0.31
07/08/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
30/08/20254th15/261%25%-0.36
29/06/20265th12/137%64%+0.27
16/07/20267th11/271%14%-0.57