2

Rosemary's Rose
4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 59
Ffos Las · Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 80y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ffos Las | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Nottingham | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |