Speculative
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 65
Ffos Las · Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 80y
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-07-24 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-06-24 | Newbury | 2 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/07/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |