1

Stopherandgo

9yo Mare · 9-9

Ffos Las · Dandara Homes Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

250/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winning hurdler in 2023. Only poor form over hurdles and fences for Kevin Pickard since. 250/1, last of 12 for new yard in novice at Kempton (11f) on flat debut 27 days ago, very slowly away. Down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.9 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Plumpton 07/01/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 105 · 1m7f195y Sft 158 · below its mark07/01/2024 · OR 105 par7/014OR 1054 @ Fontwell 14/02/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 100 · 2m1f162y Hvy 158 · below its mark14/02/2024 · OR 100 par5 @ Taunton 24/04/2024 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 94 · 2m5f150y Gd 162 · below its mark24/04/2024 · OR 94 par24/045OR 945 @ Taunton 28/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 84 · 2m2f40y Goo 154 · below its mark28/11/2024 · OR 84 par5 @ Uttoxeter 20/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 86 · 2m3f207y Sft 155 · below its mark20/12/2024 · OR 86 par20/125OR 865 @ Uttoxeter 25/07/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 83 · 1m7f168y Gd 154 · below its mark25/07/2025 · OR 83 par5 @ Hereford 25/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 78 · 2m3f147y Gd 142 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 78 par25/115OR 785 @ Taunton 09/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 71 · 2m3f1y Goo 142 · below its mark09/03/2026 · OR 71 par3 @ Kempton 08/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f219y Sta 139 · HIGHER CLASS8/073projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Kempton312th11th+1
2026-03-09Taunton59th10th1
2026-01-15Ludlow51
2025-12-16Wincanton51
2025-11-25Hereford58th9th1
2025-07-25Uttoxeter512th13th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0128/1125/118/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/01/20249th100/10%11%+0.11
14/02/20243rd150/10%75%+0.75
24/04/20248th28/10%36%+0.36
28/11/20247th16/116%50%+0.34
20/12/20246th11/142%55%+0.12
25/07/202512th20/10%15%+0.15
25/11/20258th14/126%36%+0.10
09/03/20269th18/15%20%+0.15
08/07/202612th250/10%0%0.00