4

Somethingintheair

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 63

Ffos Las · Golwg Gwendraeth Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

50/1 but took another step forward with fifth of 12 in all-weather maiden at Lingfield (1m) in December. Off since, so needs to hit the ground running on handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 13/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 12513/1055 @ Lingfield 20/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f1y Std 12820/1155 @ Lingfield 03/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 1263/125projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-03Lingfield55th5th0
2025-11-20Lingfield55th5th0
2025-10-13Kempton512th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1020/113/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/202512th300/10%0%0.00
20/11/20255th80/10%69%+0.69
03/12/20255th50/10%64%+0.64