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9

A Daughters Love

3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 54

Ffos Las · Dandara Homes Handicap · 1m 3f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved for current yard with 1¼m wins at Chepstow and Leicester this summer. Stiff task when fourteenth of 15 in handicap at Ascot (1½m, good to firm) 10 days ago. Can bounce back here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength64%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f Hvy 12615/03C8C8 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f Std 1296 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 36 · 1m142y Std 123 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 36 par2/066OR 366 @ Bath 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 45 · 1m2f37y Gd 126 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Ffos Las 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 45 · 1m2f Gd 123 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 45 par23/066OR 456 @ Chepstow 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 45 · 1m2f GF 126 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Leicester 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 51 · 1m2f GF 121 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 51 par4/076OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 54 · 1m4f51y Std 127 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 54 par4 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 54 · 1m3f211y GF 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 54 par25/074OR 54projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Ascot414th12th+2
2026-07-14Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-07-04Leicester61st1st0
2026-06-27Chepstow61st1st0
2026-06-23Ffos Las63rd3rd0
2026-06-05Bath63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/035/064/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/202610th300/10%10%+0.10
01/04/20267th400/10%14%+0.14
02/06/202611th80/10%9%+0.09
05/06/20263rd66/10%83%+0.83
23/06/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78
27/06/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
04/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
14/07/20265th11/142%56%+0.13
25/07/202614th33/10%7%+0.07