2
Beaune
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 57
Ffos Las · Dandara Homes Handicap · 1m 3f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Ffos Las | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Bath | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |