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10

Cartrefle

3yo Gelding · 8-4 · OR 45

Ffos Las · Dandara Homes Handicap · 1m 3f 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

250/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held all 3 runs. Last of 10 in maiden at Salisbury (1¼m, heavy) on return in June. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Handicap debutant.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength30%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Redcar 27/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/1055 @ Southwell 20/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m13y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS20/1153 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f201y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/063projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-09Salisbury310th6th+3
2025-11-20Southwell510th9th+1
2025-10-27Redcar57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1020/119/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20257th125/10%0%0.00
20/11/202510th200/10%0%0.00
09/06/202610th250/10%0%0.00