5

Grindleton

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 59

Ffos Las · Dandara Homes Handicap · 1m 3f 209y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Very good second in handicap at Nottingham (1¼m) in May but came in last of 8 on tapeta debut at Wolverhampton (1½m) since. Remains one to be interested in back on turf for in-form yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 05/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS5/0944 @ Pontefract 25/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m6y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS25/0945 @ Bath 09/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS9/1056 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 63 · 1m2f23y GF 134 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 63 par30/046OR 636 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 61 · 1m2f50y Goo 131 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 61 par19/056OR 616 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 60 par2/066OR 60projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-02Wolverhampton68th8th0
2026-05-19Nottingham62nd2nd0
2026-04-30Yarmouth64th4th0
2025-10-09Bath53rd2nd+1
2025-09-25Pontefract44th2nd+2
2025-09-05Kempton46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0925/099/1030/0419/052/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20256th14/126%58%+0.32
25/09/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
09/10/20253rd6/168%78%+0.09
30/04/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
19/05/20262nd13/266%90%+0.24
02/06/20268th11/893%0%-0.93