3
Jimmy Mark
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 56
Ffos Las · Dandara Homes Handicap · 1m 3f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Bath | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Bath | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 11/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 20/09/2025 | 6th | 11/5 | 88% | 17% | -0.72 |
| 30/09/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |