7
Pomeriggio
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 45
Ffos Las · Dandara Homes Handicap · 1m 3f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength67%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Chepstow | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Warwick | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Ludlow | 4 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/03/2025 | 3rd | 125/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 13/04/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 11/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/09/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/12/2025 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/01/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |