4

Praise Indeed

4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 53

Ffos Las · Dandara Homes Handicap · 1m 3f 209y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced 4-y-o. Advanced her form for new yard with second of 9 in handicap here (1¼m, good to firm) 21 days ago, not clear run over 1f out. A likely player off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 07/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 7f Sta 124 · HIGHER CLASS7/0555 @ Lingfield 11/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f135y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS11/0655 @ Chepstow 17/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m14y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/0756 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 54 · 1m14y Gd 134 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 54 par15/066OR 546 @ Ffos Las 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 53 · 1m2f Goo 136 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 53 par14/076OR 53projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Ffos Las62nd2nd0
2026-06-15Chepstow67th7th0
2025-07-17Chepstow58th7th+1
2025-06-11Lingfield56th5th+1
2025-05-07Kempton511th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0511/0617/0715/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/202511th33/10%0%0.00
11/06/20256th250/10%44%+0.44
17/07/20258th50/10%22%+0.22
15/06/20267th18/15%33%+0.28
14/07/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40