4
Janssen
5yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 82
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 29/11/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |