5
Pure Realization
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 57
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2024 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 14/09/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 19/10/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/05/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/06/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 14/09/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/09/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |