4
Redoubtableripken
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |