1
Esther's Salad
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 60
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |