4
Fashionable Kitty
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 59
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |