Maize Loved Laffy
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 01/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 18/08/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 29/09/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |