2
Tomaki
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 43
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength2%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2024 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 13/05/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/05/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 26/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 30/09/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |