2
Doc Advantage
8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 86
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2024 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 11/06/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 05/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |