3
Flying In Style
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 75
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 12/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 23/09/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |