1
Solo's Fury
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 25% | -0.71 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |