Stars N Stones
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 13/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 02/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |