2
Ace Up Her Sleeve
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 19/11/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |