6
Creme Caramel
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 51
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-19 | Penn National | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-07-04 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2023-08-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2022-10-19 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2022-07-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2022-07-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2022 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.24 |
| 01/05/2022 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 21/05/2022 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 08/07/2022 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 22/07/2022 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 19/10/2022 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 29% | -0.64 |
| 05/08/2023 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 04/07/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |