1
Jackson Avenue
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 61
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 03/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |