10
Kaymus
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 60
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 08/07/2025 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 03/09/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 13% | -0.70 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 21/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |