Meraviglioso
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 65
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-10-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |