7
Numeric
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 61
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |