8
Practical Rachel
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 65
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |