She's A Freud
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 66
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2024 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 29/04/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/06/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 17% | -0.74 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |