1
Khali's Dream
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 86% | -0.07 |
| 17/11/2025 | 6th | 10/11 | 95% | 29% | -0.67 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 83% | -0.13 |