3
Max Foster
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |