5
Asset Management
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 70
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-02-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2024-12-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-11-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/11/2024 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/12/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 01/02/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 22/02/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 23/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |