3
Hey Pal
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 84
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Finger Lakes | BHA78 | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-09-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 83% | -0.11 |