2

Sunday's Currency
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 74
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 09/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |