1
Grand Lady Indy
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 48
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 20/05/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 20/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 10/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |