9
Mrs Bell
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 46
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength10%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 03/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |