8
Nurse Bunny
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 64
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
74%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 30/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 19/08/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 02/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 18/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |