Thin Legs
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-10-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 16/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |