Eye Shadow
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 04/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 11/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |