4

Quick Sand

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 69

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Oaklawn Park 07/02/2016 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 0m6f0y 1197/02C8C8 @ Oaklawn Park 06/03/2016 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 0m6f0y 117C7 @ Oaklawn Park 15/04/2016 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 0m6f0y 11515/04C7C5 @ Will Rogers Downs 17/05/2016 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m0f70y 116 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Churchill Downs 31/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS31/05C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/08/2025 · OR 81 parC6 @ Laurel Park 03/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 81 par3/10C6OR 81C6 @ Hawthorne 26/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 5f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Turfway Park 11/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark11/03/2026 · OR 73 par11/03C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-11Turfway Park?8th9th1
2025-10-26Hawthorne?4th3rd+1
2025-10-03Laurel Park?6th5th+1
2025-08-13Presque Isle Downs?3rd2nd+1
2025-05-31Churchill Downs?1st0th+1
2016-05-17Will Rogers Downs?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0217/053/1011/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20164th20/10%63%+0.63
06/03/20161st20/10%100%+1.00
15/04/20164th5/174%67%-0.07
17/05/20167th8/158%0%-0.58
31/05/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
13/08/20253rd3/184%33%-0.51
03/10/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
26/10/20254th9/488%40%-0.48
11/03/20268th8/158%0%-0.58