7
Sensible Marriage
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 61
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 09/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 01/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |