7
After School
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 89
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Allowance · 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2024-08-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 13/06/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 15/08/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 27/08/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |